Chelsea were backed to finish in a modest fourth place despite a lightning start to the 2021/22 Premier League season.
The Blues got off to an unbeaten start and are at the top of the list after their 3-0 humiliation against Tottenham Hotspur in north London.
This is the first time Chelsea have taken first place after a matchday since September 2018.
Regardless of that initial success, Thomas Tuchel’s men are set to suffer a dramatic drop and only manage to clinch a Champions League spot at the end of the campaign.
According to the CIES Football Observatory, Chelsea are expected to finish fourth at the end of the season in their forecast table – a model that takes into account player experience, investment in transfer fees and the club’s respective performances over the course of the season. the last year.
While of course a fourth place would be a disappointment given the quick start, it would see Chelsea retain the position they have won in each of the last two campaigns under Frank Lampard and Tuchel.
Meanwhile, the prediction also sees the Blues edging out London rivals Spurs – who are expected to finish fifth.
While Champions League football is still missing for the 2022/23 campaign, it is still an improvement on their disappointing seventh place last season which earned them a place in the Europa Conference League.
Both teams are also considerably away from Arsenal in the prediction of CIES, who are backed for a ninth place despite heavy summer transfer spending.
After an eighth in a row, that prediction would be Arsenal’s worst league result since 1995, when they finished 12th.
Barring cup wins, it would also mark their second straight season without European football, the first time since 1991.