Will college football have the wrong national champion in a 12-team playoff format? Hey, Buckeye is talking

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Hey, Buckeye speaks: In the age of the playoffs, has there ever been a lot of debate about the best winning team? In general, I feel like at the end of the playoffs, we feel like the most deserving team has won every year. How much will that change with 12 teams? – SMS subscriber from 412

Hi 412, this is Doug: Fantastic question. Until now, especially in the BCS era, but also in the playoff era, the biggest potential problem was a championship-worthy team that had no chance of winning a title. In the era of the 12-team playoffs on the horizon, that fear will be gone, replaced by the idea of ​​a seed being knocked out in three games.

A No.1 seed will now have to beat No.8, No.4 and No.2, if things go as planned, instead of just beating No.4 and No.2. Are you annoyed with # 8 or # 9? Or will a seed suffer an injury, or be more exhausted from the extra game, and then lose a semi that they wouldn’t lose otherwise? When you add games, of course, you increase the chances that the best team will lose. But I don’t expect that to happen much, at least until the playoffs widen the opportunities, recruiting gets lighter, and Schools 6-15 get closer to the top four or five they’ve got. currently are.

If Penn State, for example, takes a leap forward and then eliminates Alabama in the playoffs, it might not be seen as such a huge upheaval.

Let’s look at the # 8 seeds possible in recent years. Would Cincinnati have beaten Alabama for at least a year? Would Wisconsin have beaten LSU in 2019? Could Central Florida beat Alabama in 2018? If the eight seeds are like that, I don’t think we’ll see a change in winning the top teams.

And I’ll say I think the four-team playoffs provided the illusion of the best winning team, to some extent. Ohio State barely made the playoffs in 2014 and won it all. The committee could easily have chosen TCU. I would say it’s closer to the best team that doesn’t win than what we’ll see in a 12-team format.

In 2015, Ohio State suffered a bad loss to Michigan State and did not make the playoffs. The Buckeyes would have made a 12-team playoff and could have won a title as a No.7 seed, with everyone agreeing that they really were the best team from the start. In 2017, many of us on selection day thought Ohio State was in it, but the Buckeyes finished No.5 – and the No.4 Alabama won it all. Meanwhile, Ohio State rode USC in the Cotton Bowl. Are we sure the best team won that year?

Ultimately, I think the 12-team format probably increases the odds that the “best team” will win it, as all the “best team” contenders will come in, and I don’t expect huge upheavals. in the extra rounds that the elite teams must now pass.

Hey Buckeye Talk: Is it fair to say that the Ohio State has overtaken Clemson? – Subscriber in the 440

Hi Four Forty, this is Nathan: How much does a 49-28 ass blow close the gap? Ohio State absolutely brought him to Clemson at the Sugar Bowl last year. After a six-year gap without a playoff win, the Buckeyes have definitely caught up to their national nemesis by making their way to the national championship game.

But the Buckeyes still follow Clemson up the college football hierarchy.

Ohio State won the inaugural playoff championship in 2014, and Clemson – who had yet to become Clemson – did not qualify. Over the next six seasons, the Tigers made all of the playoffs, winning the national championship twice and appearing in two other championship games. They’ve beaten OSU twice in that streak, including that 31-0 bombing in 2016.

Ohio State clearly has exclusive possession of third place. At this level, however, the standards are incredibly high. Alabama and Clemson are synonymous with playoffs and national championships.

The Buckeyes have three routes to rank in the top two. Keep beating Clemson one-on-one (out of their control, somewhat). Hope Clemson slips and tumbles past them (unlikely in the near future, and also unsatisfying)

Or, climb that national championship mountain again.

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Fields Bears Jersey: Ohio State football fans can purchase Justin Fields’ new Chicago Bears jersey here. It’s available in white, blue and orange – and in men’s, women’s and youth sizes. There is also a cheaper t-shirt option.


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